July 7, 2024
U.S. Ethanol Market

U.S. Ethanol Market to Witness High Growth Owing to Growing Demand for Biofuel

The U.S. ethanol market has been growing steadily over the past few years. Ethanol is a colorless flammable liquid which is primarily used as biofuel. It is produced by the fermentation of sugars by yeasts or via petrochemical processes. Ethanol acts as an octane booster and oxygenate when blended with gasoline. This helps improve the combustion of fuel in automobile engines and reduces harmful tailpipe emissions. The demand for ethanol is increasing in the U.S. due to various environmental regulations and initiatives promoting the use of biofuels. Growing concerns regarding climate change have compelled government agencies and auto manufacturers to adoapt sustainable alternatives to fossil fuels. This large and expanding market for biofuels in the transportation sector is driving the growth of the U.S. ethanol market.

The U.S. ethanol market is estimated to be valued at US$ 32.70 Bn in 2024 and is expected to exhibit a CAGR of 9.0% over the forecast period 2024 to 2031.

Key Takeaways

Key players operating in the U.S. ethanol market are Boehringer Ingelheim, Zoetis, MSD Animal Health (Merck Animal Health), Elanco Animal Health, Ceva Santé Animale, Virbac, Bayer Animal Health, Vetoquinol, Huvepharma, IDT Biologika, Merial (now part of Boehringer Ingelheim), Heska Corporation, Dechra Pharmaceuticals, Phibro Animal Health, Neogen Corporation. These players are focusing on capacity expansion and new product launches to strengthen their presence in the market.

The growing demand for E15 and E85 blends in the transportation fuel segment provides significant opportunities for ethanol producers and blending companies. The adoption of mid-level blends such as E30 can further boost the demand.

North America dominates the
U.S. Ethanol Market Size, with the U.S. accounting for the major share. Favorable government policies and production mandates in the country support the domestic ethanol industry. However, with new targeted policies and partnerships, the market is expected to grow substantially in other regions as well over the coming years.

Market drivers

The demand for ethanol in the U.S. is primarily driven by the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) mandate which requires the blending of biofuels in transportation fuel. It mandates a minimum volume of biofuels to be blended into gasoline each year. This stable policy support creates a huge guaranteed market for ethanol and encourages ongoing investments in the biofuel industry. Additionally, ethanol is a high-octane, clean-burning alternative to gasoline which helps reduce emissions. Its use as a gasoline extender significantly lowers the consumption of imported crude oil. These environmental and energy security benefits further drive the adoption of biofuels in the country.

PEST Analysis

Political: The renewable fuel standards and laws supporting renewable energy in the United States incentivize ethanol production and use. Government tax credits help make ethanol more competitive compared to gasoline. However, lobbying against corn subsidies and tariffs on imported ethanol could impact the industry.

Economic: Volatile corn and oil prices impact ethanol production costs. Demand also depends on gasoline prices and vehicle usage due to the blend ratio. Economic recovery from the pandemic may increase driving and gasoline demand.

Social: Growing consumer awareness of biofuel’s environmental benefits has increased demand. However, some argue corn ethanol production uses land needed for food or biodiversity. Debates around possible impacts on food prices continue.

Technological: Cellulosic and advanced ethanol technologies showing promise at lower costs could disrupt the industry in the long term if commercialized at scale. Enzyme and yeast innovations also incrementally improve efficiency of corn ethanol plants.

The Midwestern United States accounts for the majority of ethanol production by value, estimated at over 75% of the total market. States like Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, Minnesota and South Dakota have ideal growing conditions for corn and a large number of ethanol plants located near corn farms. The coastal states on the West Coast and Northeast are growing consumers of ethanol due to renewable fuel standards and gasoline blending mandates, but have fewer local ethanol production facilities.

The Southeastern United States has emerged as one of the fastest growing regions for ethanol consumption in recent years. States like North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia and Florida have seen population and tourism industry growth which increases gasoline demand. Investments in new ethanol import and distribution infrastructure also allows more widespread availability in this region compared to a decade ago. This makes the Southeast an important growing market for ethanol producers and merchants going forward

*Note:
1. Source: Coherent Market Insights, Public sources, Desk research
2. We have leveraged AI tools to mine information and compile it